Neurology Neuroimmunology & Neuroinflammation
○ Ovid Technologies (Wolters Kluwer Health)
Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Neurology Neuroimmunology & Neuroinflammation's content profile, based on 12 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Amato, L. G.; Angiolelli, M.; Demuru, M.; Troisi Lopez, E.; Quarantelli, M.; Granata, C.; Depannemaecker, D.; Jirsa, V.; Bonavita, S.; Mazzoni, A.; Sorrentino, P.
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Comprehensive biomarkers of multiple sclerosis (MS) capable of simultaneously diagnosing the condition, capturing symptom severity and predicting treatment efficacy remain elusive. Although several studies have highlighted the pivotal role played by demyelinating lesions in determining MS structural pathology, their relationship with symptom severity is limited. Here, we combined personalized computational brain modeling with magnetoencephalography (MEG) recordings from 17 MS patients and 20 healthy controls (CTR) to derive personalized brain network excitability parameters, which we tested as MS biomarkers. Personalized parameters discriminated between CTR and MS participants with high accuracy, also classifying between progressing and remitting MS patients. Notably, they also predicted MS clinical scales across multiple domains. In all clinical tasks, personalized parameters consistently outperformed standard clinical measures and total lesion loads. Together, these results highlight the potential of personalized brain modelling in deriving integrative MS biomarkers, capable of simultaneously identifying the condition, classifying MS subtypes and predicting symptom severity. d brain modelling in deriving integrative MS biomarkers, capable of simultaneously identifying the condition, classifying between MS subtypes and predicting the severity of symptomatology.
Venkatesh, S.; DelSignore, M.; Wu, X.; Morris, M.; Kerr, W. T.; Visweswaran, S.; Wang, Y.; Xia, Z.
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Background. Early diagnosis and intervention are crucial in multiple sclerosis (MS), yet diagnostic delays are common. Large language models (LLMs) such as generative pre-trained transformers (GPTs) may help streamline diagnostic workflows by extracting MS diagnostic signals from clinical notes. Objective. To derive MS diagnosis status from the first neurology note using a computable algorithm based on the 2017 McDonald criteria and applying GPT-4 for node-level reasoning within a structured decision framework. Methods. We analyzed first neurology notes from 125 randomly selected patients (including those with MS, related disorders, and controls) enrolled in a clinic cohort between 2017 and 2023. We included the clinical history and diagnostic testing sections but redacted the assessment and plan. We converted the 2017 McDonald criteria into a decision tree and provided expert-curated clinical knowledge to guide GPT-4 reasoning at each decision node. GPT-4 generated binary decisions at each node to traverse the tree and classified MS diagnoses at terminal nodes. We evaluated performance against neurologist-assessed diagnoses and characterized hallucinations (non-factual, incongruent, irrelevant, over-reliant, and logical reasoning errors). Results. In this study cohort (mean age 40{+/-}13 years; 81% women) representative of the clinic population, GPT-4 performed well in predicting MS diagnosis (84% accuracy, 79% precision, 74% recall, 91% specificity) using first neurology notes. Hallucinations occurred in 32 cases (26%), most commonly incoherence (75%) and overreliance (47%). Conclusion. A structured, LLM-guided decision framework can flag MS diagnoses from early clinical documentation. Large-scale studies are needed to mitigate hallucinations, validate this approach, and test implementation in clinical settings.
Azizi, L.; Aksoylu, I.; Bueno Alvez, M.; Foucher, J.; Juto, A.; Seitz, C.; Press, R.; Samuelsson, K.; Kläppe, U.; Uhlen, M.; Edfors, F.; Bergström, S.; Fang, F.; Nilsson, P.; Öijerstedt, L.; Manberg, A.; Ingre, C.
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Background: Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a neurodegenerative disease characterized by death of upper and lower motor neurons, usually presented with clinical heterogeneity. Fluid biomarker development remains dominated by neurofilament light chain (NEFL), a marker of neuroaxonal injury. NEFL is however unspecific to ALS and its phenotypes and there is currently a lack of biomarkers that capture ALS heterogeneity such as onset site and ALS-frontotemporal spectrum disorder (ALS-FTSD). Therefore, we investigated whether plasma proteomics could reveal pathway-level signatures that stratify and explain ALS heterogeneity. Methods: We profiled ~5,400 plasma proteins (Olink Explore HT) in 299 patients with ALS and 50 age- and sex comparable healthy controls. We used two complementary analytic frameworks: (i) differential protein abundance analysis to identify altered proteins in ALS and across clinical subgroups, and (ii) weighted gene correlation network analysis (WGCNA) to identify coordinated protein modules and relate them to ALS diagnosis and to ALS-specific clinical traits (site of onset, ALS-FTSD, ALS functional rating scale-revised (ALSFRS-R) score, and plasma NEFL). Results: Differential abundance analysis identified 56 proteins altered in ALS versus controls, of which 40 were increased. WGCNA identified 11 co-expression modules, with ALS samples having the strongest correlation to a protein module (n=51) highly enriched for muscle-related proteins. Out of the 40 proteins that had increased expression levels, 29 overlapped with the muscle-enriched protein module, indicating that muscle related proteins are the dominant circulating proteomic signature in ALS. This signal extended to clinical stratification: spinal-onset patients showed a strong positive association with the muscle-module. Further, differential abundance analysis of spinal- versus bulbar-onset ALS identified changes that mapped predominantly to the same module, supporting a molecular signature of onset phenotype. In contrast, cognitive status (ALS-FTSD) mapped to distinct modules enriched for extracellular matrix/cell-adhesion pathways, consistent with a separable biological axis of disease heterogeneity. Although multiple modules correlated with NEFL, trait-specific signatures were not fully explained by neuroaxonal injury. Notably, the muscle-enriched module increased with higher NEFL and lower ALSFRS-R, supporting its interpretation as a severity-linked, muscle-involvement proxy. Conclusions: Large-scale plasma proteomics reveals that heterogeneity in ALS reflects underlying biological structures. We identified a dominant muscle-associated protein network that distinguished ALS patients from controls and correlated with disease onset phenotype and severity, alongside distinct protein networks linked to ALS-FTSD. By integrating differential protein abundance with network-based analysis, we defined pathway-level biomarker signatures that extend beyond NEFL, enabling biologically informed patient stratification and improved therapeutic monitoring.
Lim, A.; Gill, J. M.; Bickart, K. C.; Onicas, A. I.; Bazarian, J. K.; Alice, J.; Mac Donald, C. L.; Brown, A.; Cook, L.; Rivara, F. P.; Gioia, G. A.; Giza, C. C.; Dennis, E. L.; Concussion Assessment, Research, and Education for Kids (CARE4Kids) Consortium,
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Importance: Neuroinflammation is a key component of the response to injury after concussion, but direct links between diffusion MRI metrics and specific plasma inflammatory pathways in human concussion have not been established. Objective: To examine associations between diffusion MRI metrics and pathway-level inflammatory proteomic signatures in adolescents during the subacute period after concussion. Design, Setting, and Participants: Cross-sectional analysis of data from the CARE4Kids Consortium, a six-site prospective study. Participants were English-speaking adolescents ages 11-17.99 with concussion and symptoms at 7-35 days post-injury. Data were collected between 2022-2024. Of 370 enrolled participants, 122 had both diffusion MRI and plasma proteomics available for analysis. Exposure: Advanced diffusion MRI metrics were converted to z-scores and participants were grouped by the spatial extent of outlier values (potholes and peaks) across 15 white matter regions of interest. Nine non-redundant groupings were selected for primary analysis. Main Outcomes and Measures: Pathway-level inflammatory profiles derived from gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) of ~5,400 plasma proteins measured by Olink proximity extension assay, targeting nine hallmark inflammatory pathways spanning initiation through resolution. Persistent symptoms were assessed 64-115 days post-injury. Results: Diffusion metrics reflecting tissue disorganization were associated with upregulation of the coagulation pathway, consistent with hemostatic-inflammatory signaling. Metrics reflecting reduced tissue complexity and neurite density were associated with upregulation of interferon- and interferon-{gamma} response pathways, consistent with microstructural remodeling driven by cellular immune activation. Elevated free water content was associated with downregulation of most inflammatory pathways and trend-level transforming growth factor - {beta} upregulation, reflecting inflammatory resolution. Time since injury did not differ between groups based on free water (Kolmogorov-Smirnov p = 0.97), suggesting these differences reflect individual variability in recovery pace. Exploratory analyses showed a trend toward lower odds of persistent symptoms in the group with elevated free water content (odds ratio = 0.51, p = 0.18). Conclusions and Relevance: Multiple diffusion MRI metrics are differentially sensitive to distinct neuroinflammatory states in the subacute period after adolescent concussion. These findings suggest that diffusion imaging could serve as a non-invasive tool for inflammatory phenotyping, with potential implications for identifying patients who may benefit from targeted immunomodulatory intervention.
Ranjan, N.; Cole, M. A.; Gerber, G.; Flores-Guerrero, D.; Chaturvedi, S.; Brodsky, R.
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Paroxysmal Nocturnal Hemoglobinuria (PNH) is characterized by hemolysis due to the loss of GPI-anchored complement regulators. While terminal complement inhibitors improve survival, the precise intracellular mechanisms driving the destruction of PNH erythrocytes remain controversial. A recently proposed model suggests PNH cells undergo an inflammatory programmed cell death ("spectosis") driven by an NLRP3-Caspase-8 signaling cascade. Here, we use a whole packed cell lysis approach to map the cytoskeletal degradation of primary erythrocytes across a 22-patient PNH cohort. Our data show that membrane attack complex (MAC) pore formation drives targeted {beta}-spectrin fragmentation, which correlates with rapid intracellular potassium (K+) efflux. Notably, when probing these primary patient samples, we detected a complete absence of the NLRP3 protein and found no functional evidence of Caspase-8 activation during MAC pore formation. Furthermore, caspase inhibition did not alter cytoskeletal degradation or K+ efflux. Instead, our data demonstrate that MAC-induced membrane perforation permits a rapid influx of calcium, which activates calpain, the dominant calcium-dependent protease in erythrocytes. Rather than an inflammatory cascade, this calcium-dependent calpain activity executes the degradation of {beta}-spectrin. These findings challenge current models of PNH hemolysis. We show that the destruction of PNH erythrocytes is a consequence of the MAC-calcium-calpain axis, rather than an inflammatory programmed cell death event. Consequently, therapeutic strategies aimed at targeting the inflammasome or caspase signaling will likely offer no clinical benefit for PNH patients.
Ward, B.; Belkhir, L.; Balligand, J.-L.; Cani, P. D.; De Greef, J.; Dewulf, J. P.; Gatto, L.; Haufroid, V.; Kabamba, B.; Vertommen, D.; Yombi, J. C.; Elens, L.; Bommer, G.; Bamps, L.
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Background. Post acute sequelae of COVID 19 (PASC) is clinically heterogeneous and mechanistically unresolved, and single-analyte studies have struggled to explain it. Methods. We profiled matched plasma proteomics, metabolomics and whole-blood transcriptomics at acute infection and convalescence (mean 86 days later) in a Belgian cohort, using linear mixed models, multiomic gene-set enrichment, and a degree-matched differential-correlation approach to quantify how each node's interactions were rewired between patients who developed PASC and those who recovered; seven axis proteins were additionally quantified by multiplex immunoassay as orthogonal validation. Findings. Single omic testing yielded few FDR significant features, yet multi-omic enrichment showed sustained complement cascade involvement from acute illness to follow-up in PASC. Correlation networks re-organised topologically toward C3 and lost the immunoglobulin V gene coexpression seen in recovery. The most rewired nodes, heparin cofactor II (SERPIND1), alpha 1 antitrypsin (SERPINA1), complement factor H related 5 (CFHR5), prothrombin/thrombin (F2) and immunoglobulin V gene transcripts (notably IGLV3 21), changed in their co-expression structure rather than in abundance. In multiplex validation, acute CRP was elevated in patients who developed PASC (FDR = 0.012), whereas the directly measured abundances of the network-nominated proteins were unchanged. Interpretation. These trajectory aware, cross omic networks nominate a thrombo inflammatory axis in which complement and coagulation regulation remain dysregulated in PASC at the level of wiring rather than abundance, providing a systems framework for validation and for exploring interventions at the complement coagulation platelet interface.
LIU, X.; Vangberg, T. R.; Kuiper, L. M.; Vernooij, M. W.; Stubhaug, A.; Steingrimsdottir, O. A.; Page, C. M.; Nielsen, C. S.; van Meurs, J. B. J.; Roshchupkin, G. V.
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People differ widely in their sensitivity to pain, and this variability is clinically relevant, yet the underlying structural brain mechanisms remain poorly understood. White matter hyperintensities (WMH), a common imaging marker of cerebral small vessel disease, are associated with microstructural abnormalities in white matter tracts and have also been linked to pain related outcomes; however, the mechanisms linking WMH to altered pain perception remain unclear. We investigated whether WMH are linked to pain sensitivity through tract specific microstructural alterations and cortical structural differences. We analysed data from 1,448 participants (mean age 73 years; 53% women) in the population based Rotterdam Study and independently replicated the findings in 1,522 participants (mean age 63 years; 52% women) from the population based Tromso Study. Pain sensitivity was quantified using the cold pressor test. Multimodal magnetic resonance imaging, including T1 weighted, fluid attenuated inversion recovery and diffusion tensor imaging, was used to map WMH to predefined white matter tracts, derive tract specific fractional anisotropy (FA), and estimate cortical measurements. Cox proportional hazards models assessed associations with pain sensitivity, and tract specific mediation analyses evaluated whether white matter microstructure or tract connected cortical regions mediated the relationship between white matter hyperintensities and pain sensitivity. WMH were present in 20 of 27 predefined tracts and were associated with reduced FA in 18 tracts. Higher WMH burden was associated with greater pain sensitivity, particularly in the left anterior thalamic radiation and left superior thalamic radiation, while lower FA in the anterior thalamic radiation, medial lemniscus, superior thalamic radiation and inferior fronto occipital fasciculus was associated with greater pain sensitivity. Mediation analyses showed that white matter microstructural disruption was the principal pathway linking WMH to pain sensitivity, with the strongest indirect effects observed through the inferior fronto occipital fasciculus (44.6% mediated) and anterior thalamic radiation (32.6% mediated). Cortical atrophy in the precentral and postcentral gyri provided a smaller secondary pathway, mediating approximately from 3 to 6% of the association between corticospinal or superior thalamic radiation WMH and pain sensitivity. Replication analyses supported these cortical mediation pathways, and meta analysis strengthened the tract specific associations. Together, the results suggest that vascular white matter injury is associated with pain perception through specific structural pathways, with DTI based markers appearing particularly sensitive to these relationships.
Gorenshtein, A.; Adiniaev, Y.; Liba, T.; Klang, E.; Daniel, O.
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Objective: To compare first-line emergency department (ED) treatment classes for acute headache on short-term all-cause ED return and index admission across two independent health systems. Background: ED trials of acute headache treatment are judged on in-ED pain relief, a documented endpoint that is recorded incompletely and shifts with the scoring rule, and is a weak surrogate for what happens after discharge. All-cause ED return after an index headache visit (any subsequent ED encounter within the window) has not been used to compare first-line treatments at scale, and society guidance favors dopamine-receptor antagonists while recommending against routine opioids. Methods: Retrospective two-center cohort of adults treated for headache in the ED, using MIMIC-IV-ED (Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, 2011-2019) and MC-MED (Stanford, 2020-2022). The first-line class was the earliest qualifying acute agent. The primary contrast was opioids versus dopamine-receptor antagonists (the guideline-preferred class). Outcomes were 72-hour and 7-day all-cause ED return (among discharged patients; any subsequent ED encounter within the window) and index hospital admission. Confounding by indication was addressed with propensity overlap weighting; associations are reported as adjusted risk ratios (RRs) with bootstrap 95% CIs and E-values. Estimates were pooled with a site term and examined per site. Results: Among 13,285 treated adults (10,799 MIMIC-IV-ED; 2,486 MC-MED), opioid recipients were older and higher-acuity than dopamine-antagonist recipients (index admission 38.1% vs 16.4%). In the MIMIC-IV-ED discharged primary-contrast population, overlap weighting reduced the maximum standardized mean difference from 0.35 to 0.002; pooled and site-specific balance diagnostics are provided in the Supplement. First-line opioids remained associated with a higher 72-hour all-cause ED return (6.8% vs 3.8%; adjusted RR 1.79; 95% CI 1.31 to 2.33), 7-day return (10.7% vs 6.6%; RR 1.62; 95% CI 1.28 to 1.98), and index admission (RR 2.32; 95% CI 2.11 to 2.58, consistent with strong residual severity differences in patients selected for opioids). The direction of association was concordant across both health systems, although MC-MED return estimates were imprecise given the smaller opioid-treated discharged sample. In MIMIC-IV-ED, the cumulative all-cause return incidence by treatment class separated by day 3 and persisted through 30 days. The direction was consistent, though attenuated and no longer statistically significant, when the outcome was restricted to a headache-specific return (72-hour RR 1.31; 95% CI 0.91 to 1.88); the direction persisted for the composite of admission or 72-hour return, which does not condition on discharge but is influenced by the more confounded admission component (RR 2.16; 95% CI 1.98 to 2.39). Conclusion: Across two health systems, first-line opioid treatment for ED headache was associated with higher all-cause short-term ED return among discharged patients and higher index admission than dopamine antagonists. These observational associations reflect downstream all-cause ED utilization after an index headache visit rather than confirmed headache recurrence or treatment failure; they are consistent with guideline-concordant, opioid-sparing first-line treatment and warrant prospective confirmation. Plain Language Summary: Emergency departments treat headaches with several different medicines, but the usual way of judging which works, the pain score recorded during the visit, is often missing or inconsistent. Using two large hospital systems and a clearer outcome, whether patients came back to the emergency department for any reason, we found that patients first treated with opioids returned within 72 hours about 1.8 times as often as those given the guideline-preferred dopamine-blocking medicines and were admitted more than twice as often. These patterns pointed the same direction in both hospital systems after adjustment for the measured differences available in both databases. Because this was an observational comparison and returns were counted for any reason, the findings are consistent with using guideline-preferred non-opioid medicines first, rather than proof that opioids worsen headache.
Zhang, Y.; Sutherland, S.; GREENWAY, K.; Stayt, L.
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Abstract Background: Remote clinical reviews have become an integral component of contemporary nursing practice across community and acute care settings. Nurses increasingly make autonomous clinical decisions using telephone, video, and online/digital systems, often with limited sensory information and under conditions of uncertainty. However, empirical understanding of how nurses make clinical decisions via remote reviews remains limited. Aim: To explore and understand how registered nurses (RNs) make clinical decisions about patient care via remote reviews. Methods: A convergent mixed-methods design was employed. Quantitative data (analytic quantitative sample N=53) were collected using validated questionnaires that measured decision-making processes, physician-nurse collaboration, decision-making stress, and perceived decision-making ability. Qualitative data (N=23) were generated through semi-structured interviews. Data collection took place between October 2024 and April 2025. Quantitative data were analysed using descriptive statistics, correlation, and multiple regression. Qualitative data were analysed using framework analysis. Integration was achieved through pillar-building and theory-driven synthesis and illustrated by joint display tables. Results: Most nurses demonstrated a flexible decision-making style, integrating analytical and intuitive reasoning. Both analytical and intuitive processes were positively associated with perceived decision-making ability. Physician-nurse collaboration emerged as a strong predictor of decision-making confidence, while decision-related stress was not a significant predictor. Qualitative findings identified three themes: characteristics of remote review; making adaptive decisions shaped by both internal and external constraints and enablers; and external influencing factors. The integrated findings informed a theory-informed ICE framework to illustrate how nurses make clinical decisions via remote reviews. Conclusion: Remote clinical decision-making is a dynamic cognitive-environmental process rather than a purely individual cognitive act. The ICE framework conceptualises this interaction, extending existing decision-making theories to digitally mediated care. Impact: Understanding remote decision-making supports training design, clinical governance, and the development of Artificial Intelligence-enhanced decision-support tools grounded in ecological bounded rationality. Patient or Public Contribution: Patient and public representatives contributed to stakeholder discussions that informed the development of the interview topic guide and the theoretical model. Patients or members of the public were not involved in recruitment, data collection, analysis, interpretation of findings, or preparation of the manuscript. Keywords: clinical decision-making, remote reviews, telehealth, nursing, mixed methods, ecological bounded rationality
Noble, J. M.; Nadkarni, N. K.; Martinez, D.; Temprosa, M.; Bowers, A.; Carmichael, O.; Doherty, L.; Febres, G. J.; Sanchez, D. L.; Goldberg, T. E.; Sherif, H.; Shah, V.; Luchsinger, J. A.; DPP Research Group,
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Introduction: The Diabetes Prevention Program Outcomes Study (DPPOS) is an established cohort of aging persons with pre-diabetes and type 2 diabetes with 25 years of median follow-up. In 2022 DPPOS added Alzheimer's disease (AD), and AD related dementias (ADRD) phenotyping using the National Alzheimer's Coordinating Center (NACC) Uniform Data Set (UDSv3), which included a standardized neurological examination across 25 clinical sites, administered by clinical staff and interpreted centrally by clinicians. Methods: A DPPOS video-based asynchronous neurological examination (DPPOS-VANE) was developed iteratively through consensus from research clinicians and staff feedback to harmonize with UDSv3 to identify common neurological diagnoses aside from dementia including diabetic cranial neuropathies, stroke and parkinsonism. DPPOS-VANE was designed to be conducted without direct participant contact by the examiner, reproducible, and independent of clinical skills of PCs. An iPad camera recorded the video exam, comprised of assessments of extraocular and facial movements, visual fields, speech, gross motor strength, pronator drift, praxis and parkinsonism. A 10-minute training video demonstrated the examination step-by-step with scripts and instructions in English and Spanish. Site-specific performance review, feedback, and staff certification preceded central reading of video recordings by physicians. After two years of implementation, 1286 DPPOS-VANEs led to 1284 examination reviews. Of these, 1204 (93%) were completed by having the examiner follow the standard script. Overall, 1237 examinations (96%) were delivered as planned, 41 (3%) had minor errors but were still usable, and 6 (0.4%) had major deviations in exam technique; two additional recorded evaluations were not usable as recorded videos were inaccessible due to technical errors. Each examination was completed within 10-15 minutes. Each site on average completed 51.4 examinations (range 14-92). Discussion: Engaging 55 research staff across 25 sites and 3 physician-reviewers, this study is the first to demonstrate feasibility of a VANE as an efficient neurological examination model enabled by commonly used devices. Such a multisite standardized VANE represents a novel paradigm for large epidemiological studies.
Sautreuil, C.; Lesueur, C.; Pinto Cardoso, G.; Bruel, H.; Biran, V.; Muller, J.-B.; Duigou, A.-L.; Datin-Dorriere, V.; Verspyck, E.; Marguet, F.; Laquerriere, A.; Gressens, P.; Gonzalez, B.; Marret, S.
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Prenatal alcohol exposure (PAE) is a major cause of neurodevelopmental disorders, yet most children are diagnosed late or misdiagnosed. Neuroplacentology suggest that placental factors released into maternal and/or umbilical cord blood contribute to fetal brain development. Consistently, a preclinical inter-organ transcriptomic database revealed that PAE disrupts the expression ratio of angiogenic and inflammatory factors suggesting an angio-inflammatory response. This study aimed i) to assay, by multiplex immunoassay, angiogenic and inflammatory factors in maternal and umbilical cord blood from alcohol-consuming women and ii) to perform a maternofetal analysis according to neonatal sex. Afterwards, dysregulated factors from mothers who gave birth to females or males were submitted to STRING and ShinyGO analyses. Results showed that PAE differently altered the distribution profiles of dysregulated angiogenic and inflammatory factors in maternal and umbilical cord blood. Moreover, sex-specific differences were observed, with 36% of dysregulated proteins specific to males, 48% to females, and 16% common to both. STRING analysis revealed robust functional protein-protein interactions linking together inflammatory and angiogenic clusters while the ShinyGO analysis identified enriched pathways related to vascular shear stress. These findings provide the first maternofetal analysis of combined angiogenic and inflammatory factors from alcohol-consuming mothers.
Ghanem, V. G.
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This study focuses on the relationship between access to Advanced Neonatal Care (ANC) and fertility across the regions in Ghana between 1988 and 2022. It builds on previous studies focused on inequity in maternal health across subnational levels and incorporates spatial analytics, machine learning, and a welfare-adjusted fertility care metric. Nine waves of the Ghana Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) were analyzed, with 94 region-by-year units across 8 to 16 regions in each survey wave in the 16 Ghana administrative regions. Skilled ANC along with the Total Fertility Rate (TFR) and demographic control variables were extracted for the analysis. The methodologies employed include decomposition of the Gini coefficient of inequality, bivariate z-score risk stratification, Random Forest (RF), and Decision Tree (DT) regression, partial dependence, Local Indicators of Spatial Association (LISA), global Moran's I with permutation inference and a novel Care Efficiency Index (CEI = ANC% / TFR). Care for the outcomes employed region aggregations along with district boundary geometries for the display of the choropleth maps. National skilled ANC coverage increased from 83.1% (1988) to 97.7% (2022), with inter-regional Gini declining 87.9% (0.070 to 0.008). The North-South gap narrowed from 32.4 to 0.9 percentage points. Northern region showed the greatest absolute gain (+43.0pp). Machine learning identified an exploratory RF partial-dependence inflection near TFR=5.90, above which predicted ANC coverage declined in the historical data. Survey year was the dominant RF predictor (43.7%), followed by TFR (38.8%). TFR spatial clustering intensified by 2022 (Moran's I=0.606, p=0.001). Greater Accra led the Care Efficiency Index (CEI=31.9); Northern Belt regions lagged (CEI=14.5-16.5). Risk stratification classified 23 observations as Critical (Low ANC/High TFR), predominantly from Northern Belt regions in earlier survey waves. ANC coverage converged substantially, yet fertility-related spatial inequities persisted, especially in the Northern Belt. The Care Efficiency Index and exploratory TFR inflection provide hypothesis-generating tools for targeting health-system investment. They should not be interpreted as causal thresholds.
Oxley, J.; Schölin, L.; Brennan, G.; Anand, A.; Brett, J.; Eddleston, M.; Humphries, C.
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Background. UK clinical guidance recommends that structured risk prediction tools and risk stratification should not be used in self-harm, to predict suicide or determine who is offered treatment. Underpinning this position is the premise that routinely collected health data contain no useful predictive signal, which has received little direct scrutiny. Objective. To test whether routinely collected electronic health record data can distinguish groups at higher and lower risk of severe outcomes following paracetamol overdose. Methods. We analysed 4,095 adults presenting to NHS Lothian emergency departments with paracetamol overdose (2017-2023). Elastic-net logistic regression was fitted to 37 routinely collected electronic health record features to predict a composite of death or mental health inpatient admission at 0-7, 8-30 and 31-365 days following attendance, evaluated on a held-out 20% test set with bootstrapping. Findings. Events occurred in 5.5% of patients at 0-7 days, 2.0% at 8-30 days and 7.9% at 31-365 days, dominated by mental health admission. Bootstrap AUROC 95% confidence intervals lay above 0.5 in every window (0.65-0.82, 0.63-0.90, 0.71-0.85): models ranked patients better than chance. Calibration slopes (1.04, 1.14, 1.07) were close to one. Ranking drew primarily on mental health-related features. Conclusions. Routinely collected health data carried predictive signal for severe outcomes after paracetamol overdose, although discrimination fell short of what is needed for individual-level clinical use. Clinical implications. These models are not proposed for clinical deployment; however, treating risk prediction as a settled question will redirect research efforts, potentially excluding this patient population from machine learning advances driving improvements in care in other medical specialties.
Konicarova, C.-A.; Schneider, J.; Spaniel, F.; Kolenic, M.; Alda, M.; Bakstein, E.
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Background: Actigraphy-derived rest-activity rhythm (RAR) features are widely used to characterize clinical states in bipolar disorder (BD). Both mean levels and temporal variability of these features have been associated with mood episodes; however, variability measures are often statistically coupled with the mean, particularly in skewed distributions. This raises a question as to whether variability reflects a separate characteristic of the data or whether the observed association arises from statistical properties of the data. Objective: In this study, we aim to determine whether temporal variability of actigraphy-derived RAR features provides standalone information on mood episodes in BD beyond mean activity levels after accounting for mean-variance dependence. Methods: We analyzed actigraphy data from a subset of 72 participants with BD drawn from a larger longitudinal study, extracting 22 daily RAR features aggregated weekly as sample mean (MEAN) and within-week temporal variability computed as sample standard deviation (VAR). Variance-stabilizing transformations (Box-Cox or Yeo-Johnson) were applied to the entire study cohort to reduce mean-variance dependence. Associations with mood episodes and remission (mania: n=34; depression: n=58 annotated participants) were evaluated using generalized linear mixed-effects models with a logistic link function, including univariate (MEAN or VAR) and multivariate (MEAN+VAR) specifications, assessed by likelihood-based metrics and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Results: Transformations reduced mean-absolute correlations from 0.43 to below 0.06. Temporal variability remained significantly associated with clinical state for 11/22 RAR features in mania and 16/22 features in depression, with all significant associations remaining after false discovery rate correction (p<0.05). Joint models showed modest incremental gains (AUC 3%-4% overall; up to 12% in mania, 7% in depression), with absolute performance remaining limited (AUC 0.50-0.66). In both mania and depression, nearly all significant variability-based regressors contributed incremental information beyond mean-based models. Only sleep duration and activity changes around wake time (+-1 hour), did not improve discrimination between mania and remission. Conclusions: Temporal variability in RAR features can be considered a standalone state marker of mood episodes not captured by mean activity. We found it to be more consistently associated with depression than mania. Its incremental discriminative contribution is modest, suggesting greater utility within multivariate or multimodal frameworks.
Nasser, S. T.; Piercy, C. R.; Falinska, A.; O'Sullivan, D. M.; Devonshire, A.; Martinez-Estrada, F.; Huggett, J.; Creagh-Brown, B. C.
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Introduction Hospitalised community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is heterogeneous in aetiology, severity, and outcome. Phenotyping and endotyping approaches offer potential to stratify patients biologically and guide targeted therapy, but require well-characterised cohorts with linked biosamples. We describe the PARIS (Pneumonia: Acute Respiratory Infection +/- Sepsis) study: a prospective observational cohort of hospitalised patients with pneumonia, designed to characterise functional outcomes and to provide a biobank for translational immunological research. Methods Adults admitted with CAP to a single NHS district general hospital were enrolled within 24 hours of admission between December 2020 and March 2022. Clinical, functional, and physiological data were collected at enrolment, hospital discharge, and 6-8 week follow-up. Serial blood samples were collected for flow cytometry, transcriptomics, pathogen DNA detection, and plasma biobanking. Results Forty-seven patients were enrolled (15 without and 32 with sepsis [SOFA >=2] at enrolment); 87% met sepsis criteria by 24 hours post enrolment. Most patients (30/47, 64%) were managed as COVID-19, microbiologically confirmed in 27. Mean age was 57 years (SD 16), 70% were male, and baseline comorbidity burden was low. Severity was moderate (median NEWS2 4 at enrolment, rising to 6 by 24 hours post enrolment; p<0.001). Mortality was 4/47 (8.5%), with 44/47 (94%) alive at hospital discharge. Median length of stay was 8 days (IQR 5.5-11). Translational samples were collected from the majority: fresh flow cytometry (44/47, 94%), transcriptomics from the sepsis subgroup (31/32, 97%), pathogen DNA sampling (35 samples received across study timepoints; see Table 5), and stored plasma (29/47, 62%). The primary outcome of functional decline (Barthel score decrease >=1.85) occurred in only 1/29 patients with paired assessments (3.4%). Persistent CRP elevation (>3 mg/L) at 6-8 week follow-up was present in 16/31 (52%) survivors with available data. Conclusions The PARIS cohort provides a well-characterised clinical platform and linked biobank to support translational studies of pneumonia and sepsis. The low rate of functional decline reflects the younger, lower-comorbidity, COVID-predominant population recruited. Primary protocol endpoints were not achieved owing to pandemic-related disruption. Data and samples underpin a programme of linked translational studies.
Rivera, J.; Zhou, Y.; Sak, L.; Pudewa, F.; Lee, J.; Yamamoto, M. T.; Yoo, H.; Lum, M.; Zhang, M.; Patel, A.; Vandenberghe, L. E.; Fenn, S. K.; Wang, Y.; Bailey, B.; Holley, S. M.; Vivas, A. C.; Holly, L. T.; Lu, D. C.
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Objective: Photobiomodulation therapy has emerged as a promising modality to facilitate scar healing and pain management in dermatology and plastic surgery. However, its role in postoperative care following spine surgeries remains understudied. This double-blinded, placebo-controlled study aimed to investigate the effects of photobiomodulation in patients with chronic lower back pain undergoing lumbar decompression, with postoperative wound healing as the primary outcome and pain reduction and functional recovery as secondary outcomes. Methods: Patients were randomized to receive either active photobiomodulation braces (N=13) or placebo braces (N=12). Follow-up assessments were performed at 2, 4, 6, 8, and 12 weeks postoperatively. Outcomes included wound healing (Stony Brook Scar Evaluation Scale), back and leg pain (Visual Analog Scale), quality of life (EuroQol 5D), and functional status (Oswestry Disability Index). Results: Compared to the placebo group, the photobiomodulation treatment group had a 4.12-fold cumulative improvement in final scar scores, with significant between-group differences at postoperative weeks 6, 8, and 12 (p = 0.0062, 0.010, 0.042). Among patients with severe preoperative disability, treatment resulted in a 1.89-fold faster improvement in back pain (p=0.025) and a 1.80-fold faster improvement in ODI scores (p=0.025); and superior treatment effect on wound healing were again observed at weeks 6, 8, and 12. Among patients with poor initial scars, treatment led to a significantly better scar outcome than placebo at week 6 and a 1.94-fold faster EQ5D improvement (p=0.052), with significant gains observed as early as two weeks after surgery. There were no adverse events associated with photobiomodulation treatment. Conclusions: Photobiomodulation significantly promoted postoperative wound healing following lumbar decompression surgery, with therapeutic benefits preserved even in patients with poor baseline scar scores and functional impairment. This indicates that the efficacy of photobiomodulation is not limited by the initial scar condition or disability, supporting its broad clinical applicability. Additionally, patients with severe preoperative disability experienced greater benefits from photobiomodulation than placebo, including faster reduction in back pain and more rapid improvement in functional capacity, highlighting its role in postoperative pain management and rehabilitation. These therapeutic effects are likely mediated by photobiomodulation-induced reduction of inflammation and enhancement of tissue repair. Together, this study suggests that photobiomodulation can be a promising adjunct therapy to facilitate postoperative recovery in patients undergoing spine surgery.
Duarte, C. A.; Uscocovich, V. S. M.; Misael, I.; Duarte, P. D. A. C.; Sestito, E. B.; Da SIlva, P. N.
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Abstract Objective: To synthesize the available evidence on the association between SARS-CoV-2-related microvascular thrombosis and acute kidney injury (AKI), with emphasis on renal outcomes, mortality, and renal replacement therapy requirements. Methods: This systematic review followed the PRISMA 2020 statement and was prospectively registered in PROSPERO (CRD420251132701). PubMed/MEDLINE, Scopus, and Embase were searched for systematic reviews, including meta-analyses, and umbrella reviews investigating the association between SARS-CoV-2-related microvascular thrombosis and acute kidney injury. Two reviewers independently performed study selection, data extraction, and methodological quality assessment using AMSTAR-2 and ROBIS. Evidence was synthesized through a structured narrative synthesis supported by quantitative data extracted from the included reviews. Results: Six evidence syntheses evaluating kidney involvement, thrombotic events, and microvascular mechanisms in COVID-19 were included. AKI incidence was 9.2% (95%CI 4.6-13.9) among hospitalized patients and 32.6% (95%CI 8.5-56.6) among critically ill patients. In children with multisystem inflammatory syndrome associated with SARS-CoV-2, AKI incidence was 20% (95%CI 14-28). Microvascular or thrombotic events were associated with adverse renal outcomes (OR 2.14; 95%CI 1.32-3.48). AKI was associated with increased mortality (OR 4.68; 95%CI 1.06-20.70) and greater likelihood of renal replacement therapy requirement (OR 2.87; 95%CI 1.45-5.68). The certainty of evidence ranged from moderate to high for the principal outcomes. Conclusion: Current evidence supports an important association between microvascular thrombotic injury and COVID-19-associated AKI. These findings reinforce the relevance of endothelial dysfunction and thromboinflammatory pathways in kidney involvement during COVID-19 and highlight the need for early renal monitoring, risk stratification, and kidney-protective strategies in high-risk patients. Keywords: COVID-19; Acute Kidney Injury; Microvascular Thrombosis; SARS-CoV-2; Renal Replacement Therapy; Systematic Review
Chandra, P.; Sharma, Y. P.; Kapoor, R.; Singhal, R.; Patel, P.; Jena, A.; Tiwari, D. K.; Mody, R.; Ali, A.; Kapoor, A.; Sharma, P.; Kumar, V.; Sharma, K.; Chopra, V.; Kharche, M. N.; Kataria, V.; Dani, S.; DAVIDSON, D.; Agarwal, R.; Kapardy, P.; Gupta, R.; Ainchwar, R.; Mehta, A.; Khan, A.; Arneja, J.; Kastrati, A.
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Aims Polymer-free drug-eluting stents were developed to enhance vascular biocompatibility and safety while maintaining antirestenotic efficacy. The TRANSEVER registry evaluated 12-month clinical outcomes of the polymer-free everolimus-eluting ISAR SUMMIT stent in a large, real-world population undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention. Methods This prospective, multicentre study enrolled patients with coronary artery disease undergoing PCI with the ISAR SUMMIT stent across 33 centres in India. The primary endpoint was target-lesion failure (TLF) at 12 months, a composite of cardiac death, target vessel myocardial infarction, or clinically driven target lesion revascularisation. Secondary endpoints included the patient-oriented composite endpoint (POCE) of all-cause death, any myocardial infarction, stroke, revascularization, and definite/probable stent thrombosis. Results A total of 1,000 patients were enrolled, of whom 996 completed 12-month follow-up. The cohort presented with a high-risk profile, including an acute coronary syndrome (ACS) in 89.8% of the cases and diabetes mellitus in 44.4% of them. Procedural outcomes were excellent in terms of device success and final TIMI 3 flow (achieved in all treated lesions). At 12 months, TLF occurred in 15 patients (1.5%). Definite or probable stent thrombosis was observed in 8 patients (0.8%). POCE was observed in only 21 patients (2.1%). Conclusions In this large, contemporary real-world population with a very high proportion of patients presenting with ACS, the polymer-free everolimus-eluting ISAR SUMMIT stent demonstrated favourable 12-month clinical outcomes, with low rates of target lesion failure and stent thrombosis. These results suggest that this novel device is both safe and effective for routine clinical use.
Thommana, A. A.; Donnay, C. A.; Norato, G.; Gaitan, M. I.; Griffanti, L.; Nair, G.; Reich, D. S.; Okar, S. V.
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White matter lesion (WML) identification, assessment, and characterization using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) are fundamental for diagnosis and monitoring of multiple sclerosis (MS). Portable ultra-low field (pULF) MRI at 64 millitesla (mT) has been shown to visualize WML with at least one dimension greater than 4 mm. An automated WML segmentation tool catered to pULF-MRI can provide standardized and accurate quantitative measurements of WML volume. In this study, we sought to investigate and compare the accuracy of machine-learning (ML) and deep-learning (DL) pULF MRI segmentation tools. Same-day paired pULF (64mT) and high-field (HF, 3T) MRI scans from 84 adults with MS or suspected-MS (mean age {+/-} SD: 48 {+/-} 13, 62 females) included T2-FLAIR and T1w images. Reference WML segmentations were manually annotated on pULF T2-FLAIR for all scans, with WML confirmed with registered HF T2-FLAIR. HF reference WML segmentations were created. Four automated segmentation methods were applied to pULF scans: Method for Inter-Modal Segmentation Analysis (MIMoSA), an ML algorithm trained on HF WML masks; WMH-SynthSeg, a convolutional neural network model with flexible segmentation capabilities across field strengths and resolution; nnU-Net, a DL algorithm trained on pULF reference WML masks; and Pseudo-Label Assisted nnU-Net (PLAn), a DL algorithm pre-trained on HF reference WML masks and refined with 64mT reference WML masks. Two models were trained with nnU-Net, one using T2-FLAIR images only (nnU-Net-FL) and one using T1w and T2-FLAIR images (nnU-Net-FL/T1). The same was done with PLAn, creating PLAn-FL and PLAn-FL/T1. The six automated WML segmentation outputs were compared to the manual segmentations to determine Dice Similarity Coefficient (DSC) scores. Associations of WML volume estimates with clinical measures were investigated. DSC scores with pULF reference WML masks from PLAn-FL (DSC mean {+/-} SD: 0.50 {+/-} 0.24) outperformed MIMoSA (0.24 {+/-} 0.20, p < 0.0001), WMH-SynthSeg (0.30 {+/-} 0.18, p < 0.0001), nnU-Net-FL (0.41 {+/-} 0.24, p < 0.0001), and nnU-Net-FL/T1 (0.41 {+/-} 0.26, p = 0.0004). Worse Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) and Scripps Neurologic Rating Scale (SNRS) scores were correlated with higher WML volumes in the pULF and HF reference masks. They were also correlated with WML volumes derived from WHM-SynthSeg, nnU-Net-FL, nnU-Net-FL/T1, PLAn-FL, and PLAn-FL/T1, but not MIMoSA. After adjusting for age, WHM-SynthSeg, nnU-Net FL, nnU-Net-FL/T1, PLAn-FL, and PLAn-FL/T1 had significant associations with EDSS and SNRS scores. nnU-Net and PLAn performed best in segmenting WML on pULF-MRI at 64 mT, providing accurate quantitative estimates of WML burden. Moreover, WML volumes estimated by these algorithms were associated with clinical measures of disability, underscoring their utility for reflecting clinical and radiological disease severity. Given pULF-MRI's mobility and lower cost, these findings highlight its relevance in clinical trials, particularly in involving more participants who face logistical constraints and barriers.
d'Angremont, E.; Marschall, T. M.; Renken, R. J.; Sommer, I. E.
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Introduction Parkinson's disease (PD) is a multifactorial disorder, affecting multiple neurotransmitter systems, including the cholinergic system. Cholinergic denervation is heterogeneous across patients and difficult to predict based on clinical presentation. In this study, we assessed the sensitivity of structural MRI (sMRI) and functional MRI (fMRI) to cholinergic degeneration related to PD and to cognitive functioning in PD. We compared our results to results from previously reported [18F]Fluoroethoxybenzovesamicol ([18F]FEOBV) PET imaging, which is considered the gold standard for cholinergic imaging. Methods 34 PD patients and 10 healthy controls underwent structural T1-weighted MRI. A subset of 14 patients and 9 controls also underwent resting-state fMRI. We extracted the bilateral volumes of the nucleus basalis of Meynert (NBM) from the sMRI images. Functional connectivity (FC) from the NBM to the cortex (NBM-FC) was determined using fMRI data. Principal component analysis (PCA) was applied to reduce the dimensionality of the NBM-FC images. We assessed performances for NBM-FC in distinguishing patients from controls using stepwise logistic regression. Similarly, NBM volume was used using logistic regression. Furthermore, the relation between these measures and cognitive function in several domains was investigated with (stepwise) linear regression. Leave-one-out cross validation (LOOCV) and bootstrapping was performed to assess robustness of the results. Results NBM-FC was well able to discriminate patients from controls with an AUC of 0.84 (95% CI: 0.62-1). NBM volume showed lower performance, but was still better than chance: AUC: 0.75 (95% CI: 0.57-0.93). Significant correlations were found between 1) cognition in the attentional domain and NBM-FC (r=0.63; p=.015) and 2) global cognition and NBM volume (r=0.55, p=.001). These results were inferior to those previously reported using [18F]FEOBV tracer uptake (see Chapter 6). Bootstrapping revealed that NBM volume of only the left hemisphere was stably related to PD diagnosis and global cognition in PD patients. We found that a lower NBM-FC in specific brain areas, including the fusiform gyrus, supramarginal gyrus and dorsolateral prefrontal cortex, was related to PD diagnosis. Bootstrapping revealed no stable NBM-FC pattern related to attention. Conclusion Although MRI results were slightly inferior to [18F]FEOBV PET data, MRI may provide a cheaper and more widely available alternative for cholinergic imaging. We recommend testing the utility of MRI as predictor and monitor of cholinergic treatment effect in a longitudinal study.